Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T21:09:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0f97…5d50 crypto 528 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$15 (-3%) realized −$31 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate58%308W / 219L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day90.9pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% −$19
other 17% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -11.0% -19.5% 31% 21% -19.6%
≤30d 527 -5.7% -14.6% 58% 40% -14.8%
≤90d 527 -5.7% -14.6% 58% 40% -14.8%
all 527 -5.7% -14.6% 58% 40% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 40% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 18% -22.9%
15% -30.3% 8% -30.4%
20% -37.1% 1% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1.918827633258436% → late -9.39733082297724% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses308 / 219
Open positions0
Markets (closed)527 / 528
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day90.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 527 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +35%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -37%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 14m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $0 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $0 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $0 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $0 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $0 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $0 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1081 history records