Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:04:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f91…558c
other · 73 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$759 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$690 · open +$59
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,748
Realized+$690
Unrealized+$59
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses63 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)70 / 73
History coverage210d
Avg bet$291
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 3 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$10
14 days+$20
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 94¢ 98¢ $1,244 $1,300 +$56 (+5%)
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $426 $429 +$3 (+1%)
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 97¢ $19 $19 +$1 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Oracle say "Debt" during earnings call? Jun 11 $24 +$2 +8%
Will Oracle say "Health" or "Healthcare" during earnings call? Jun 10 $89 +$2 +2%
Will Oracle say "Growth" during earnings call? Jun 10 $153 +$7 +4%
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $468 −$1 -0%
New "The Boys" episode released by May 31? Jun 01 $557 +$10 +2%
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, May 22 $9 −$8 -90%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December May 21 $14 +$1 +8%
Will Google say "YouTube" during earnings call? Apr 30 $598 +$14 +2%
Will Google say "Alphabet" during earnings call? Apr 30 $1,042 +$20 +2%
Will Google say "Advertising" or "Advertisement" during earnings call? Apr 27 $63 +$18 +28%
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April? Apr 27 $221 +$4 +2%
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? Apr 18 $224 +$2 +1%
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? Apr 18 $1,498 +$16 +1%
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)? Apr 18 $127 +$1 +1%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December Apr 18 $5 −$4 -75%
Will Trump meet with Andy Jassy in March 2026? Apr 01 $153 +$12 +8%
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026? Apr 01 $394 +$3 +1%
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026? Apr 01 $20 $0 +2%
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in March 2026? Apr 01 $25 $0 +1%
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31? Apr 01 $245 +$5 +2%
Will Trump meet with Satya Nadella in March 2026? Apr 01 $398 +$1 +0%
Will Trump launch a coin by March 31? Apr 01 $81 +$1 +2%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026? Mar 29 $469 +$1 +0%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.30% (HIGH) by December Mar 27 $1,199 +$273 +23%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.20% (HIGH) by December Mar 23 $636 +$18 +3%
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? Mar 21 $1,234 +$49 +4%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Mar 10 $1,226 +$8 +1%
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February Mar 02 $59 +$24 +42%
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by Feb Mar 01 $238 +$4 +2%
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by Feb Mar 01 $307 +$26 +8%
Will Zohran Mamdani be named in newly released Epstein files by Februa Mar 01 $558 +$10 +2%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Feb 21 $6 +$1 +11%
Will Robinhood say "Prediction" during earnings call? Feb 11 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Robinhood say "Gold" during earnings call? Feb 11 $248 +$12 +5%
Will S&P Global say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Feb 10 $50 +$6 +11%
Will S&P Global say "Rating" during earnings call? Feb 10 $62 +$3 +5%
Will S&P Global say "Benchmark" during earnings call? Feb 10 $72 +$3 +4%
Will S&P Global say "Dow Jones" during earnings call? Feb 10 $100 +$2 +2%
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026? Feb 10 $83 −$83 -100%
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31? Feb 07 $1,119 +$30 +3%
Bill Clinton charged by January 31? Jan 30 $236 +$3 +2%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? Jan 29 $1,052 +$13 +1%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026? Jan 20 $27 −$18 -68%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? Jan 16 $102 −$11 -11%
Will BlackRock say "Performance Fee" during earnings call? Jan 15 $30 +$1 +4%
Will BlackRock say "Private market" during earnings call? Jan 15 $68 +$3 +4%
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Jan 13 $50 +$136 +272%
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? Jan 13 $65 +$2 +4%
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Rese Jan 11 $130 +$3 +2%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? Jan 08 $629 +$6 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% +$531
world 17% +$147
finance 13% +$97
politics 13% −$33
tech 2% +$2
economics 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 1h
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 2h
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $2 2h
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 2h
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $2 22h
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 35h
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 36h
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $41 46h
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 2d
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 2d
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 2d
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 2d
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 2d
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $99 2d
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $31 2d
Will Oracle say "Health" or "Healthcare" during earnings call? BUY Yes 98¢ $57 2d
Will Oracle say "Health" or "Healthcare" during earnings call? BUY Yes 97¢ $4 2d
Will Oracle say "Debt" during earnings call? BUY Yes 96¢ $10 2d
Will Oracle say "Debt" during earnings call? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 2d
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $35 2d
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $40 2d
Will Oracle say "Debt" during earnings call? BUY Yes 91¢ $10 2d
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $10 2d
Will Oracle say "Health" or "Healthcare" during earnings call? BUY Yes 97¢ $28 2d
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 98¢ $29 2d
Will Oracle say "Growth" during earnings call? BUY Yes 99¢ $13 2d
Will Oracle say "Growth" during earnings call? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 2d
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $15 2d
Will Oracle say "Growth" during earnings call? BUY Yes 98¢ $89 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +4.7% -5.2% 100% 0% -6.0%
≤30d 7 -9.4% -18.1% 71% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 26 -2.3% -11.6% 88% 8% -5.4%
all 70 +2.8% -7.0% 90% 9% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 9% -6.3%
10% -15.9% 6% -15.2%
15% -24.0% 3% -23.4%
20% -31.5% 1% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,747.80 · official $1,747.80 (match) · 424 history records