Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0f8e…0cbf crypto 1242 markets active 2h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (112 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$200 (+1%) realized +$200 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate66%879W / 460L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day111.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$95
7 days+$27
14 days−$94
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (112 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 486 -13.2% -21.4% 57% 35% -9.3%
≤30d 1339 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 43% -9.9%
≤90d 1339 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 43% -9.9%
all 1339 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 43% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover111.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 43% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 33% -18.5%
15% -28.4% 24% -26.4%
20% -35.4% 17% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses879 / 460
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1339 / 1242
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day111.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1339 Trades
no open positions (296 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $147 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records