trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 60% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 7 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 57% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.1% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 03 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | Apr 26 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Mar 29 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | Mar 12 | $16,095 | −$16 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 12 | $43 | $0 | +0% |