Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:27:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f80…f896
crypto · 335 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$454 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$454 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$454
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses145 / 190
Open positions0
Markets (closed)335 / 335
History coverage30d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 335 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$104
14 days+$104
30 days−$454
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$7 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$21 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$9 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$10 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$18 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$4 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $22 +$28 +126%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$10 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $29 +$12 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 26 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 26 $6 −$6 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 26 $6 +$9 +137%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 26 $73 −$70 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 26 $3 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 26 $51 +$32 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 26 $41 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 26 $21 +$11 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 26 $21 +$20 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 26 $21 −$20 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 26 $71 +$21 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 26 $157 −$150 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 26 $51 −$50 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 26 $21 +$19 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 26 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 26 $20 +$9 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 26 $143 +$14 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 26 $51 +$16 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 26 $103 +$72 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 26 $42 −$40 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 26 $9 −$8 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 26 $104 +$113 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 26 $157 −$150 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 26 $114 −$110 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 26 $21 +$18 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 26 $115 +$166 +145%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$454
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $67 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $28 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $26 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $14 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $17 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +17.8% +6.6% 83% 78% +15.4%
≤30d 335 +0.2% -9.3% 43% 42% -17.0%
≤90d 335 +0.2% -9.3% 43% 42% -17.0%
all 335 +0.2% -9.3% 43% 42% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 42% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 40% -24.9%
15% -25.9% 36% -32.2%
20% -33.2% 31% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 793 history records