trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -36.8% | -42.9% | 17% | 17% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -36.8% | -42.9% | 17% | 17% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -36.8% | -42.9% | 17% | 17% | -10.6% |
| all | 12 | -40.6% | -46.2% | 8% | 8% | -32.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.2% | 8% | -32.6% |
| 10% | -51.4% | 8% | -39.1% |
| 15% | -56.1% | 8% | -45.0% |
| 20% | -60.4% | 8% | -50.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $48 | $49 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $50 | +$48 | +97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $28 | −$27 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Trump say "Peace through strength" this week? | Dec 19 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 19 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel in May? | May 22 | $70 | −$20 | -29% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 21 | $20 | −$3 | -13% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July? | May 19 | $19 | −$4 | -23% |