Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f76…dcc9
sports · 241 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$210 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$161 · open −$49
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$304
Realized−$161
Unrealized−$49
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses128 / 128
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$982
Open positions2
Markets (closed)256 / 241
History coverage8d
Avg bet$315
Trades / day436.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$187
7 days−$704
14 days−$161
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 94¢ 100¢ $285 $303 +$18 (+6%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+117%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes 19¢ 1¢ $8 $0 −$7 (-94%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 28¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Katarina Kuzmova 11¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Anton Arzhankin Lorenzo Gagliardo 17¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Brace Malaika Rapolu 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Funa Kozaki vs Nao Nishino Funa Kozaki 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Deborah Chiesa 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Messina: Gabriele Piraino vs Daniele Rapagnetta Daniele Rapagnetta 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Yuno Kitahara 23¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Blake Ellis 13¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Jesse Delaney Jesse Delaney 10¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Cattolica: Gonzalo Bueno vs Francesco Forti Gonzalo Bueno 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Vaasa: Iiro Vasa vs Jonas Eriksson Ziverts Jonas Eriksson Ziverts 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Alejandro Moro Canas 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rincon Lorenzo Giustino 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Brendan Allen win by KO or TKO? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Brace Jun 13 $5 −$13 -282%
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Jesse Delaney Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 13 $1 −$1 -102%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Jun 13 $2 −$2 -102%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Michael Mmoh Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizuki Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $152 +$4 +3%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $37 −$4 -11%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $634 +$30 +5%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $796 −$52 -6%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $294 +$61 +21%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $672 −$16 -2%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $580 +$61 +10%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $161 −$34 -21%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $585 −$20 -3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $158 −$8 -5%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $466 +$50 +11%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $15 +$18 +117%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $576 −$51 -9%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $251 +$11 +5%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $123 +$27 +22%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $150 +$42 +28%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $447 +$175 +39%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $686 +$4 +0%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $425 −$82 -19%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $476 +$33 +7%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $225 −$16 -7%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $410 −$17 -4%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $189 $0 +0%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $137 +$13 +10%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $217 −$31 -14%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $169 −$43 -25%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $169 +$19 +12%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $695 −$16 -2%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 12 $85 +$65 +77%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $152 $0 -0%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $250 +$4 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$53
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 96¢ $5 38m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 8¢ $0 40m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $143 45m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $143 45m
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 9¢ $14 47m
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 82¢ $5 47m
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 54¢ $81 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 34¢ $52 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 11¢ $9 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 28¢ $43 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 59¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 58¢ $10 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 53¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 53¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 35¢ $10 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 9¢ $3 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 93¢ $28 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 10¢ $4 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 10¢ $2 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 91¢ $5 8h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 24¢ $3 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 24¢ $14 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 23¢ $5 9h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 88¢ $48 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 23¢ $5 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 23¢ $22 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 37¢ $36 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 34¢ $9 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 66¢ $22 9h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 29¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 -10.8% -19.3% 49% 18% -10.4%
≤30d 256 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 19% -9.7%
≤90d 256 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 19% -9.7%
all 256 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 19% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover436.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 19% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 8% -18.3%
15% -32.5% 4% -26.2%
20% -39.1% 3% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $304.47 · official $303.53 (match) · 3500 history records