Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:59:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0f6e…1001 crypto 1209 markets active 4h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (369 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$221 (+2%) realized +$221 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate86%1036W / 173L
Drawdown60%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day369.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days+$11
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (369 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 706 +0.7% -8.9% 86% 34% -9.4%
≤30d 1209 +0.6% -9.0% 86% 32% -9.3%
≤90d 1209 +0.6% -9.0% 86% 32% -9.3%
all 1209 +0.6% -9.0% 86% 32% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover369.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 32% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 2% -17.9%
15% -25.6% 1% -25.9%
20% -32.9% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$6 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$221
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1036 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1209 / 1209
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day369.0
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1209 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$7 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$8 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$7 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$10 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$16 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $12 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.37 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records