Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:46:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0f59…3cb0 crypto 157 markets active 23h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (293 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$6,342 (+97%) realized +$6,342 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate35%55W / 102L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day293.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 10d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$799
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (293 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -7.6% -16.4% 55% 21% -16.5%
≤30d 157 -8.7% -17.4% 35% 11% -20.6%
≤90d 157 -8.7% -17.4% 35% 11% -20.6%
all 157 -8.7% -17.4% 35% 11% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover293.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 11% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 8% -28.2%
15% -32.5% 4% -35.1%
20% -39.1% 3% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
65% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
18.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.11 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,342
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses55 / 102
Open positions0
Markets (closed)157 / 157
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$42
Trades / day293.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 157 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $118 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $111 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $217 −$12 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $245 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $204 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $115 +$15 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $165 −$16 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $83 −$75 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $55 +$5 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $4 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records