Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f4f…c10f
crypto · 414 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$2,945 -49%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,945 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,945
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses181 / 506
Open positions0
Markets (closed)687 / 414
History coverage13d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day258.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 687 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,309
7 days−$2,906
14 days−$2,945
30 days−$2,945
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+88%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$17 +3250%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +590%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$416
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-38.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 531 -37.7% -43.6% 22% 21% -44.2%
≤30d 687 -31.9% -38.4% 26% 26% -38.9%
≤90d 687 -31.9% -38.4% 26% 26% -38.9%
all 687 -31.9% -38.4% 26% 26% -38.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover258.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.4% 26% -38.9%
10% ← realistic here -44.3% 25% -44.7%
15% -49.7% 24% -50.0%
20% -54.6% 20% -54.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.08 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records