Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f4d…9c87
crypto · 214 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$56 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses96 / 118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)214 / 214
History coverage94d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 214 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$3
14 days−$12
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$9 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $9 −$6 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $6 +$12 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 31 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $3 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $5 +$3 +65%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -11.6% -20.0% 47% 44% -11.3%
≤30d 206 -13.2% -21.4% 45% 43% -15.8%
≤90d 206 -13.2% -21.4% 45% 43% -15.8%
all 214 -13.5% -21.8% 45% 43% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 43% -15.7%
10% -29.3% 41% -23.8%
15% -36.1% 36% -31.1%
20% -42.4% 28% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 615 history records