Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f4c…f3bf
crypto · 104 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$536 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$585 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$138
Realized−$585
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses23 / 78
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions3
Markets (closed)101 / 104
History coverage59d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 3 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61
7 days+$83
14 days+$70
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $98 $122 +$24 (+25%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 31¢ 6¢ $31 $6 −$24 (-79%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Bayern München? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Arsenal FC 9¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) FC Bayern München 20¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $48 +$52 +109%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 13 $40 −$39 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $43 +$107 +250%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $34 −$33 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $49 −$48 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 12 $50 +$70 +140%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $13 −$13 -99%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $182 +$164 +90%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $23 −$23 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $24 −$14 -59%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 30 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $99 −$97 -98%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? May 10 $50 −$49 -98%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) May 09 $49 −$48 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? May 07 $40 −$39 -98%
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) May 07 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest FC? May 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC? May 07 $21 −$20 -97%
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? May 06 $51 +$224 +437%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 06 $164 −$71 -43%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 May 06 $63 +$92 +146%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Bayern München? Apr 28 $11 −$11 -97%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) Apr 28 $82 −$80 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 27 $177 −$177 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 27 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 27 $65 −$61 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 27 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Apr 27 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Apr 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Apr 27 $53 +$109 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Apr 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Apr 27 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Apr 27 $24 +$47 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Apr 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 27 $25 +$50 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Apr 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $20 −$19 -97%
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) Apr 26 $100 −$97 -97%
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) Apr 26 $484 +$67 +14%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 26 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Apr 20 $4 −$4 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$76
crypto 28% −$423
other 20% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 31¢ $32 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $40 14h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $48 14h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 9¢ $9 14h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 14h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $15 14h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $34 38h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $43 39h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $49 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $50 2d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 7d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 7d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 7d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 7d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 7d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 7d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 7d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 48¢ $28 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 48¢ $56 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 14d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 14d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $101 14d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL No 100¢ $300 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 21¢ $22 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 21¢ $0 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? SELL Yes 6¢ $10 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 11¢ $12 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 11¢ $12 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-42.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -11.3% -19.7% 33% 33% +16.7%
≤30d 16 -38.2% -44.1% 25% 25% -10.1%
≤90d 101 -36.7% -42.7% 23% 23% -29.1%
all 101 -36.7% -42.7% 23% 23% -29.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.7% 23% -29.1%
10% -48.2% 21% -35.9%
15% -53.2% 20% -42.1%
20% -57.8% 20% -47.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $137.75 · official $137.75 (match) · 330 history records