Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f45…3078
crypto · 317 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$236 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$236 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$236
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses258 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)320 / 317
History coverage94d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day33.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$84
14 days+$84
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +443%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$3 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $79 +$3 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$4 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$238
other 2% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $78 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $99 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $99 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $99 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $79 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $73 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 +1.9% -7.8% 98% 0% -8.4%
≤30d 238 +1.9% -7.8% 98% 0% -8.4%
≤90d 238 +1.9% -7.8% 98% 0% -8.4%
all 320 +0.2% -9.3% 81% 1% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 1% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -19.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -27.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records