trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 45% | 45% | -2.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 45% | 45% | -2.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 45% | 45% | -2.2% |
| all | 11 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 45% | 45% | -2.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 45% | -2.2% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 45% | -11.5% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 36% | -20.1% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 36% | -27.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 59¢ | 62¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $19 | $19 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $19 | $17 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+1%) |
| President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 | Over | 63¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $8 | +$2 | +27% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $13 | −$4 | -27% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $25 | +$14 | +56% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +114% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$3 | -59% |
| President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $8 | +$7 | +90% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 10 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |