Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f34…7684
other · 249 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24,050 -68%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20,014 · open −$1,509
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$45,567
Realized−$20,014
Unrealized−$1,509
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses71 / 144
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$151
Open positions236
Markets (closed)215 / 249
Avg bet$143
Trades / day179.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 236 History 215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22,925
7 days−$20,014
14 days−$20,014
30 days−$20,014
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? No 80¢ 100¢ $2,016 $2,519 +$503 (+25%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 84¢ 100¢ $2,068 $2,475 +$407 (+20%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $822 $2,360 +$1,538 (+187%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1,720 $1,711 −$8 (-0%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $1,660 $1,647 −$13 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 52¢ $1,516 $1,483 −$32 (-2%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $1,306 $1,296 −$9 (-1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No 96¢ 100¢ $1,167 $1,215 +$48 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Yes 52¢ 100¢ $618 $1,199 +$581 (+94%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $1,175 $1,166 −$9 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Yes 75¢ 100¢ $736 $988 +$252 (+34%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $914 $928 +$14 (+2%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 95¢ 95¢ $855 $853 −$2 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $698 $851 +$153 (+22%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $851 $847 −$4 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $816 $843 +$27 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $829 $813 −$16 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $792 $792 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? No 100¢ 100¢ $790 $792 +$2 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? No 94¢ 100¢ $673 $712 +$39 (+6%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $673 $670 −$4 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $645 $635 −$9 (-1%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? No 85¢ 99¢ $439 $513 +$74 (+17%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? No 89¢ 100¢ $443 $497 +$54 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? No 55¢ 100¢ $237 $430 +$193 (+81%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Jun 12 $706 −$722 -102%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2,068 +$407 +20%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 12 $736 +$252 +34%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $914 +$29 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? Jun 12 $170 −$174 -102%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? Jun 12 $185 −$375 -202%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? Jun 12 $443 +$54 +12%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? Jun 12 $181 −$178 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? Jun 12 $180 −$185 -103%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Jun 12 $4 −$7 -203%
76ers vs. Celtics Jun 12 $65 +$601 +919%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? Jun 12 $166 −$355 -214%
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, M Jun 12 $103 +$244 +237%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $129 +$139 +108%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? Jun 12 $81 +$191 +235%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Jun 12 $24 −$49 -200%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14? Jun 12 $61 +$83 +138%
76ers vs. Knicks Jun 12 $493 −$986 -200%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14? Jun 12 $91 +$39 +42%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June? Jun 12 $34 +$96 +281%
Netanyahu out by April 30? Jun 12 $116 +$3 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? Jun 12 $87 −$208 -240%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Jun 12 $107 +$8 +7%
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? Jun 12 $39 +$155 +396%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? Jun 12 $1,333 −$1,333 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $63 +$62 +98%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Jun 12 $45 −$54 -118%
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? Jun 12 $82 +$18 +22%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14? Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 12 $1,508 −$1,560 -104%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? Jun 12 $831 −$1,664 -200%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? Jun 12 $41 +$29 +70%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Jun 12 $1,865 −$3,760 -202%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Jun 12 $63 +$1 +2%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Jun 12 $327 −$654 -200%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? Jun 12 $875 −$815 -93%
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? Jun 12 $47 +$8 +16%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? Jun 12 $23 −$45 -200%
Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 +$44 +259%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $32 +$17 +54%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? Jun 12 $35 +$5 +15%
Knicks vs. Hawks Jun 12 $21 +$36 +172%
Lakers vs. Thunder Jun 12 $297 −$595 -200%
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans Jun 12 $21 −$42 -202%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? Jun 12 $37 $0 +1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Jun 12 $25 −$153 -616%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 12 $586 −$1,187 -203%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$4,833
sports 23% +$2,765
crypto 3% −$128
politics 2% −$2
world 2% +$192
tech 0% +$11
finance 0% +$61
economics 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $6 0m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 2m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 93¢ $96 3m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 7m
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $6 9m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $11 9m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 46¢ $5 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 18¢ $3 9m
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 27¢ $5 9m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $15 9m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $10 9m
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 67¢ $8 9m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 21¢ $4 9m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 9m
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 74¢ $15 9m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 60¢ $16 9m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $10 9m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $32 9m
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $14 9m
Will England win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 75¢ $8 9m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 91¢ $14 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 35¢ $5 9m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $8 9m
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 56¢ $11 9m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $11 9m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 52¢ $7 9m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 55¢ $8 9m
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 32¢ $4 9m
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 83¢ $13 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 207 +13.4% +2.6% 33% 28% -16.3%
≤30d 215 +14.4% +3.5% 33% 27% -20.1%
≤90d 215 +14.4% +3.5% 33% 27% -20.1%
all 215 +14.4% +3.5% 33% 27% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover179.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.5% 27% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -6.4% 23% -27.7%
15% -15.4% 20% -34.7%
20% -23.7% 16% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45,567.38 · official $45,566.29 (match) · 3500 history records