Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
0F 0x0f2d…0f43 crypto 1407 markets active 0h ago coverage 69d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 69d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$270 (+0%) realized +$270 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate97%1366W / 41L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$213per market
Trades / day30.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$201
14 days−$305
30 days−$1,607
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.3%
≤30d 457 -0.2% -9.7% 96% 7% -10.5%
≤90d 1407 +0.3% -9.2% 97% 6% -9.5%
all 1407 +0.3% -9.2% 97% 6% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 6% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.8% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$104 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$270
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1366 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1407 / 1407
History coverage69d ⚠
Avg bet$213
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1407 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $218 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $202 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $195 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $195 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $192 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $192 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $184 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $197 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $193 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $183 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $185 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $197 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $192 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $191 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $182 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $187 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $183 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $202 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $27 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $90 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $155 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $194 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $192 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $189 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $194 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $192 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $189 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $184 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $195 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $197 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $195 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $193 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records