Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:07:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0f2c…c0a6 crypto 39 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$8 (-25%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate64%21W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day20.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-33.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -30.9% -37.5% 60% 17% -37.6%
≤30d 33 -26.3% -33.4% 64% 21% -33.0%
≤90d 33 -26.3% -33.4% 64% 21% -33.0%
all 33 -26.3% -33.4% 64% 21% -33.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.4% 21% -33.0%
10% ← realistic here -39.7% 9% -39.4%
15% -45.6% 0% -45.3%
20% -50.9% 0% -50.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -27% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -27% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.8 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses21 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 39
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 33 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 70 history records