Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f26…9044
crypto · 229 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$30 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$31
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses132 / 96
Open positions1
Markets (closed)228 / 229
History coverage12d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day43.5
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$115
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Down 52¢ 18¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 1? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$31
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 +16.7% +5.6% 50% 48% -25.7%
≤30d 228 +16.7% +5.6% 58% 53% -7.5%
≤90d 228 +16.7% +5.6% 58% 53% -7.5%
all 228 +16.7% +5.6% 58% 53% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.6% 53% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -4.5% 46% -16.4%
15% -13.7% 39% -24.5%
20% -22.2% 33% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.88 · official $0.88 (match) · 635 history records