trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Germany | 71¢ | 72¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 62¢ | 70¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+14%) |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | Gen.G | 50¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner | Gen.G | 62¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Over | 45¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Scotland | 40¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +70% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +55% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -93% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -65% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) | Jun 13 | $2 | +$3 | +158% |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) | Jun 13 | $1 | +$2 | +158% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 44% | 44% | -27.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 44% | 44% | -27.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 44% | 44% | -27.9% |
| all | 16 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 44% | 44% | -27.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -22.7% | 44% | -27.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -30.1% | 44% | -34.8% |
| 15% | -36.9% | 44% | -41.1% |
| 20% | -43.1% | 38% | -46.9% |