trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | $40,000 | $41,079 | +$1,079 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $375,199 | +$20,460 | +6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $3,132,463 | +$292,388 | +9% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 01 | $17,521 | +$2,467 | +14% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 100% | 0% | -4.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 100% | 33% | -1.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 100% | 33% | -1.4% |
| all | 3 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 100% | 33% | -1.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -0.8% | 33% | -1.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -10.3% | 0% | -10.9% |
| 15% | -19.0% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 20% | -26.9% | 0% | -27.4% |