Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:23:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0ef7…767a crypto 14 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$30 (+4%) realized +$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate57%8W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day16.0pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$130
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -4.8% -13.8% 57% 43% -24.0%
≤30d 14 -4.8% -13.8% 57% 43% -24.0%
≤90d 14 -4.8% -13.8% 57% 43% -24.0%
all 14 -4.8% -13.8% 57% 43% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 43% -24.0%
10% -22.1% 43% -31.3%
15% -29.6% 43% -37.9%
20% -36.5% 36% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 42% · top 2 65% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +22% → late -31% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$59 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses8 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 14 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $26 +$28 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $103 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $104 +$94 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 25 $102 +$53 +51%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 25 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 36 history records