trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 137 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 18% | 18% | -14.6% |
| ≤30d | 245 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 28% | 26% | +0.8% |
| ≤90d | 500 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 32% | 30% | +14.1% |
| all | 1222 | +13.1% | +2.3% | 40% | 27% | -3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.3% | 27% | -3.2% |
| 10% | -7.5% | 24% | -12.5% |
| 15% | -16.4% | 21% | -21.0% |
| 20% | -24.6% | 18% | -28.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | $173 | $177 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Yes | 3¢ | 25¢ | $3 | $25 | +$22 (+738%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $13 | $11 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $12 | $9 | −$3 (-26%) |
| Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $3 | +$3 (+745%) |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 10¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+59%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $3 | $2 | −$0 (-17%) |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $1 | −$6 (-85%) |
| Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | Yes | 0¢ | 2¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+290%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4? | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -110% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 5? | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Cavaliers | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Cavaliers | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Jun 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Warriors (-12.5) | Jun 26 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -114% |
| Rockets vs. Celtics | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 223.5 | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5 | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Pacers | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Lakers | Jun 26 | $2 | −$3 | -187% |
| LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3) | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pistons | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5 | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb | Jun 26 | $2 | +$51 | +3156% |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Bucks | Jun 26 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Jun 26 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Jun 26 | $1 | +$2 | +283% |
| 76ers vs. Bulls | Jun 26 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will HEROIC win The International 2025 Tournament? | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Jun 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5 | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Jun 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Nigma Galaxy win The International 2025 Tournament? | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on No | Jun 26 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5 | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Thunder | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 242.5 | Jun 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Nov | Jun 26 | $0 | +$76 | +18404% |
| Pelicans vs. Nuggets | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | +100% |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets | Jun 26 | $2 | −$1 | -46% |
| Heat vs. Nuggets | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Celtics | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |