Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T19:30:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0ee7…6fa6 other 90 markets active 1h ago coverage 61d ⚠
BOTnot copyable Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 61d only
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,986 (+14%) realized +$2,986 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate53%48W / 42L
Whale WR36%big bets
Drawdown20%max
Avg bet$242per market
Trades / day56.2pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$49
14 days+$228
30 days+$227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$999
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -8.1% -16.9% 0% 0% -17.0%
≤30d 36 +14.2% +3.3% 53% 31% -7.4%
≤90d 90 +6.6% -3.5% 53% 31% -5.0%
all 90 +6.6% -3.5% 53% 31% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 31% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 17% -14.1%
15% -21.2% 12% -22.4%
20% -28.9% 7% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 36% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -5% → late +18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
13.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$36 vs −$17 · ×2.11 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.41 per $1 lost it wins $2.41
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,986
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses48 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage61d ⚠
Avg bet$242
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 90 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? Jun 23 $158 −$7 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? Jun 23 $123 −$9 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? Jun 23 $183 −$21 -11%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 23 $137 −$13 -10%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 15 $731 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 15 $53 +$9 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $111 +$30 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +41%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? Jun 14 $13 +$7 +56%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $404 +$164 +41%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $614 +$41 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $22 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $375 +$27 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $331 +$35 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $430 +$24 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,331 −$109 -8%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $142 −$1 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $414 +$6 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $211 +$74 +35%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 04 $2 $0 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $100 +$3 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $391 +$21 +5%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $317 +$67 +21%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 01 $48 +$36 +75%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? May 30 $1 +$4 +300%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $118 −$12 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 29 $163 −$7 -4%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 29 $323 −$2 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $1,401 −$67 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $69 −$16 -24%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $11 −$2 -18%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $183 −$36 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $143 −$36 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $450 +$18 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $257 +$14 +6%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 24 $87 −$17 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $388 −$47 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $42 −$3 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 21 $68 +$6 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 20 $273 +$23 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 20 $30 +$77 +256%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 20 $103 +$2 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 19 $32 +$13 +40%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $361 +$47 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 18 $431 +$58 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 18 $87 −$4 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $322 −$12 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 17 $114 +$47 +41%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 17 $63 +$3 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $10 −$4 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $14 40m
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 57¢ $114 40m
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 59¢ $120 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $18 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $30 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $24 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $7 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $8 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $8 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY No 32¢ $3 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL No 30¢ $29 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL No 30¢ $45 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY No 32¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY No 32¢ $47 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY No 32¢ $17 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $13 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $4 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $56 3h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? SELL Yes 25¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records