Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:54:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0ee1…a621 crypto 408 markets active 0h ago coverage 40d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$651 (-2%) realized −$651 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +50% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +15% what you keep after slip
Net edge+15%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate40%164W / 244L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day64.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$34now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$18
14 days−$17
30 days−$420
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,347
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -7.7% -16.5% 38% 28% -5.2%
≤30d 186 +5.3% -4.7% 35% 23% -14.6%
≤90d 408 +49.5% +35.2% 40% 25% -11.3%
all 408 +49.5% +35.2% 40% 25% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.2% 25% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here +22.3% 13% -19.8%
15% +10.5% 9% -27.5%
20% -0.4% 8% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +49% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +95% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$14 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$34
Realized−$651
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses164 / 244
Open positions0
Markets (closed)408 / 408
History coverage40d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day64.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 408 Trades
no open positions (175 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $36 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $47 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $39 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $34 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$7 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $28 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $23 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $23 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $22 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 22 $18 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 22 $18 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 22 $17 −$11 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 22 $25 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 22 $19 −$7 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $31 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $29 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $29 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $28 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $29 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $27 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $24 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $33 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $19 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $12 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $27 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $21 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $18 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $22 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $19 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.40 · official $0.00 · 2848 history records