Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:12:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0ee0…c16e crypto 44 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$34 (+4%) realized +$34 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate52%23W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day5.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$20
14 days+$7
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$4
sports 1% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -11.8% -20.2% 70% 7% -7.5%
≤30d 44 -13.6% -21.8% 52% 9% -9.1%
≤90d 44 -13.6% -21.8% 52% 9% -9.1%
all 44 -13.6% -21.8% 52% 9% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 9% -9.1%
10% -29.3% 9% -17.8%
15% -36.1% 7% -25.7%
20% -42.4% 7% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 42% · top 2 62% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -20% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$7 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses23 / 21
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage14d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 44 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $36 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $43 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $42 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $39 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $39 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $37 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $36 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $36 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $23 +$33 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $34 +$67 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$5 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$11 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6AM ET Jun 05 $7 −$6 -95%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $5 −$1 -13%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET Jun 02 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$1 -12%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $1 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $12 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $12 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $43 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $42 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $42 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $39 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $39 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $38 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $38 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $36 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $37 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $36 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $36 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 108 history records