Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:08:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
0E 0x0ec7…08be crypto 534 markets active 5d ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (130 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$146 (+1%) realized +$147 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR66%break-even
Win rate72%386W / 147L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day130.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$50
14 days−$158
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$52
other 0% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (130 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -8.9% -17.6% 71% 59% -18.3%
≤30d 533 -1.2% -10.6% 72% 66% -10.0%
≤90d 533 -1.2% -10.6% 72% 66% -10.0%
all 533 -1.2% -10.6% 72% 66% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover130.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 66% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 48% -18.6%
15% -27.0% 26% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 11% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$26 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$147
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses386 / 147
Open positions1
Markets (closed)533 / 534
History coverage14d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day130.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 533 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes 55¢ 24¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 104 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$56 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$11 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$12 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$14 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +42%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 06 $56 −$55 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 06 $30 −$29 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $15 −$15 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $20 −$20 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $21 +$17 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 06 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 06 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 03 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $15 +$17 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 03 $61 −$60 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 03 $31 −$23 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 03 $16 +$30 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $31 +$18 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 03 $61 +$10 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $46 +$20 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 03 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 03 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $30 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 03 $61 +$14 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 03 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 03 $72 +$30 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 03 $11 +$53 +487%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.03 · official $1.03 (match) · 2257 history records