Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:07:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ec7…4be2
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$58 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses33 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day158.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$87
14 days−$87
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$10 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$82
other 2% −$10
sports 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $13 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $12 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $13 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -21.3% -28.8% 52% 45% -22.6%
≤30d 64 -21.3% -28.8% 52% 45% -22.6%
≤90d 64 -21.3% -28.8% 52% 45% -22.6%
all 64 -21.3% -28.8% 52% 45% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.8% 45% -22.6%
10% ← realistic here -35.6% 19% -30.0%
15% -41.9% 9% -36.7%
20% -47.6% 6% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 198 history records