Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ec4…5ed3
weather · 1155 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$99 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$764
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1114 / 31
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1145 / 1155
History coverage47d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 1145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$13
14 days+$23
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $86 $86 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $71 $71 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $60 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 12? No 100¢ 99¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 11? Jun 12 $86 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $76 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $65 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $76 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 11? Jun 11 $86 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 10? Jun 11 $65 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 10? Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 11 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $25 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $80 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 10? Jun 10 $56 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $43 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $106 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on June 10? Jun 10 $23 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $76 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ju Jun 10 $41 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on Ju Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 9? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 9? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 9? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or below on June 9? Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 9? Jun 09 $61 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$92
crypto 0% −$6
other 0% $0
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $8 14m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $92 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $60 2h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $40 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $86 10h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $71 12h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $2 18h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $100 18h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $100 19h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $84 19h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $100 19h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $16 20h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $84 20h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $100 20h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $16 20h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $76 25h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $86 29h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $65 33h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $20 35h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $100 35h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $100 36h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $85 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 583 -0.3% -9.8% 97% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1145 -0.8% -10.2% 97% 0% -9.7%
all 1145 -0.8% -10.2% 97% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $764.02 · official $764.07 (match) · 3500 history records