Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T02:25:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0eb3…97cf sports 136 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d only
✗ bot/MM pace (213 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$836 (+2%) realized +$836 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +47% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +13% what you keep after slip
Net edge+13%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate49%69W / 72L
Whale WR45%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$258per market
Trades / day212.9pace
Fees−$432est.
Kalshi-fit59%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$499
7 days−$210
14 days+$261
30 days+$155
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 54% −$683
sports 45% +$664
crypto 1% +$210
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (213 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+33.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 +6.3% -3.8% 47% 19% -10.0%
≤30d 141 +47.1% +33.1% 49% 21% -9.5%
≤90d 141 +47.1% +33.1% 49% 21% -9.5%
all 141 +47.1% +33.1% 49% 21% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover212.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +33.1% 21% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here +20.3% 14% -18.2%
15% +8.7% 11% -26.1%
20% -2.0% 9% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +47% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 45% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +88% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
14.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$38 vs −$34 · ×1.11 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.06 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$836
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses69 / 72
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$432
Open positions0
Markets (closed)141 / 136
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$258
Trades / day212.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 141 Trades
no open positions (28 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Jun 21 $19 −$1 -5%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? Jun 21 $2 −$49 -2396%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 21 $8 +$20 +253%
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26? Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $654 −$36 -6%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $500 +$12 +2%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Jun 21 $400 +$482 +120%
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 20 $265 −$25 -9%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $1,659 +$70 +4%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 20 $600 +$16 +3%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 20 $365 −$45 -12%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $489 −$29 -6%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Jun 20 $176 +$2 +1%
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? Jun 20 $1,046 +$51 +5%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Jun 20 $386 +$31 +8%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 20 $154 +$13 +8%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $200 −$28 -14%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $650 $0 -0%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 20 $16 −$16 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $90 $0 -0%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 20 $300 +$3 +1%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $18 $0 +2%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $643 +$8 +1%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 20 $50 −$38 -75%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $641 −$52 -8%
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 Jun 20 $232 −$9 -4%
Spread: Brazil (-4.5) Jun 20 $23 −$4 -16%
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $299 −$1 -0%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $300 +$14 +5%
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 20 $20 +$7 +33%
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $50 +$4 +8%
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $279 +$27 +10%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $124 −$3 -3%
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $36 −$5 -14%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 19 $589 +$2 +0%
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 19 $85 +$1 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $788 +$19 +2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $444 +$63 +14%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $40 −$28 -71%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 18 $142 +$212 +150%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 18 $358 +$8 +2%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $75 −$3 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $26 −$3 -13%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 18 $10 +$2 +22%
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $244 −$21 -8%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $196 +$2 +1%
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 18 $5 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 99¢ $50 28m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 98¢ $50 29m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 99¢ $50 29m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? SELL Yes 8¢ $62 30m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 12¢ $47 30m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 12¢ $51 30m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 99¢ $84 30m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 99¢ $25 30m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 98¢ $25 35m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 98¢ $25 35m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 93¢ $50 48m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $3 48m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $47 48m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 93¢ $50 49m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 95¢ $354 49m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $50 52m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $50 53m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $50 53m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $50 53m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $19 53m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $31 53m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $50 53m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 94¢ $50 53m
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 57¢ $882 1h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 25¢ $200 1h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 26¢ $200 1h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 99¢ $50 1h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 99¢ $50 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 25¢ $104 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 25¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.41 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records