Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:27:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0eaf…5452
crypto · 347 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$457 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$255 · open −$221
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$255
Unrealized−$221
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses166 / 180
Open positions1
Markets (closed)346 / 347
History coverage62d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 346 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$11
14 days−$12
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $272 $50 −$221 (-81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$6 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$10 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$12 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$22 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +10%
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Jun 03 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 28 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 28 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 28 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 28 $3 −$1 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$146
politics 26% −$349
other 3% +$20
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $13 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +0.3% -9.3% 67% 48% -11.8%
≤30d 121 -8.3% -17.0% 61% 35% -12.2%
≤90d 346 -24.5% -31.7% 48% 29% -27.9%
all 346 -24.5% -31.7% 48% 29% -27.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.7% 29% -27.9%
10% ← realistic here -38.2% 18% -34.8%
15% -44.2% 14% -41.1%
20% -49.6% 8% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.43 · official $54.63 · 1400 history records