Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:43:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0ea5…bb4e crypto 1097 markets active 0h ago coverage 119d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$67 (+1%) realized +$67 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate94%1033W / 64L
Drawdown57%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day12.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$5
14 days+$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +1.1% -8.5% 84% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 361 -0.2% -9.7% 92% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 548 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 2% -9.8%
all 1097 +0.6% -9.0% 94% 6% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 6% -9.1%
10% -17.7% 1% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

119d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1033 / 64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1097 / 1097
History coverage119d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1097 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$16 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $32 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2841 history records