Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e9e…bd89
crypto · 296 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$38 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$39
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses144 / 151
Open positions1
Markets (closed)295 / 296
History coverage3d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day1014.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$39
14 days+$39
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 63¢ 72¢ $22 $26 +$3 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 34¢ 28¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$15 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$9 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$18 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$15 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$6 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$8 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$16 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$11 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$20 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$7 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$12 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 295 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 38% -9.1%
≤30d 295 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 38% -9.1%
≤90d 295 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 38% -9.1%
all 295 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 38% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1014.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 38% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 27% -17.8%
15% -28.5% 16% -25.7%
20% -35.5% 9% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.48 · official $29.81 (match) · 3500 history records