Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:38:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e9b…bcd9
other · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses16 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage425d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $46 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $51 +$1 +2%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 08 $36 −$5 -13%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $2 $0 +2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 07 $46 $0 +0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 06 $45 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 06 $34 $0 +0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 04 $2 $0 +7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 03 $41 $0 +0%
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between Dec 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? Jun 27 $18 $0 -0%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Jun 20 $5 $0 +8%
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? Jun 19 $5 $0 -1%
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend Jun 17 $21 $0 -0%
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 11 $17 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 10 $18 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files? Jun 10 $18 $0 -0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Jun 07 $17 $0 +0%
Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Jun 05 $21 $0 +0%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? Jun 04 $21 $0 +0%
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 04 $18 +$1 +4%
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? May 09 $2 $0 +1%
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30? May 05 $2 $0 +1%
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days? Apr 18 $19 $0 +0%
Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Elect Apr 17 $19 $0 -0%
Liverpool wins the Premier League? Apr 17 $19 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? Apr 16 $21 $0 +0%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? Apr 15 $21 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 53% −$3
other 26% $0
politics 12% +$1
sports 6% $0
economics 3% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $46 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $46 3h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 39¢ $5 9h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 39¢ $3 9h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 39¢ $9 9h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $9 13h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $6 13h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 64¢ $35 15h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 66¢ $36 20h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL Yes 20¢ $31 4d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 23¢ $36 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $5 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 5d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 5d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 5d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 6d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 68¢ $29 6d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 68¢ $17 6d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 68¢ $46 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $3 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $43 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $38 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $8 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 28¢ $2 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 28¢ $17 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 28¢ $10 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 28¢ $28 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $45 7d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $45 7d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -1.0% -10.4% 50% 0% -10.5%
≤30d 10 -0.1% -9.6% 60% 0% -10.3%
≤90d 10 -0.1% -9.6% 60% 0% -10.3%
all 30 +0.8% -8.8% 53% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 0% -9.7%
10% -17.5% 0% -18.4%
15% -25.5% 0% -26.2%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records