trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 25% | 25% | -83.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 25% | 20% | -83.2% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 25% | 20% | -83.2% |
| all | 20 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 25% | 20% | -83.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.5% | 20% | -83.2% |
| 10% | -40.8% | 15% | -84.8% |
| 15% | -46.5% | 10% | -86.3% |
| 20% | -51.7% | 10% | -87.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 83¢ | 81¢ | $110 | $108 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $35 | $32 | −$3 (-8%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 70¢ | 68¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+33%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 55¢ | 55¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | No | 46¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-25%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Down | 39¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $1 | −$49 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Jun 16 | $210 | −$200 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Jun 16 | $43 | −$40 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Jun 16 | $314 | −$300 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | Jun 16 | $415 | −$394 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | Jun 16 | $210 | −$200 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Jun 16 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Jun 16 | $229 | −$214 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Jun 16 | $125 | +$92 | +74% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Jun 16 | $53 | −$50 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | Jun 16 | $51 | +$6 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 16 | $54 | +$35 | +63% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? | May 25 | $69 | −$64 | -94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? | May 25 | $112 | −$105 | -94% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May? | May 23 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | May 23 | $25 | +$8 | +30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | May 23 | $5 | $0 | +4% |