Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:12:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e99…a043
crypto · 55 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$22 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$119
Realized−$21
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses27 / 22
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions6
Markets (closed)49 / 55
History coverage49d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh Karan Singh 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings Punjab Kings 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina Elena Rybakina 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 19¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Cesar Bouchelaghem 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Rajasthan Royals 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders Lucknow Super Giants 41¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings May 03 $10 −$10 -98%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 02 $72 −$70 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 30 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 30 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 30 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Apr 30 $10 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Apr 30 $10 −$8 -75%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 30 $76 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Apr 29 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Apr 29 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -97%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 28 $142 −$40 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Apr 28 $20 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 28 $11 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 28 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 28 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 28 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians Apr 28 $10 +$15 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Apr 28 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Apr 28 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Apr 28 $80 +$53 +66%
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh Apr 27 $20 −$20 -98%
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina Apr 27 $15 −$10 -66%
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Apr 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny Apr 27 $10 +$7 +68%
Lightning vs. Canadiens Apr 27 $20 +$18 +90%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans Apr 26 $40 +$40 +101%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 26 $80 −$39 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 26 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Apr 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Apr 25 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Apr 25 $15 −$13 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Apr 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Apr 25 $1 +$5 +487%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Apr 25 $25 +$18 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Apr 25 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Apr 25 $6 +$2 +35%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 25 $52 −$1 -2%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Apr 25 $2 +$7 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 25 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Apr 25 $1 +$1 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 25 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Apr 25 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Apr 25 $5 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$103
crypto 37% +$82
other 12% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 1h
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings BUY Punjab Kings 34¢ $10 40d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 12¢ $10 41d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 15¢ $10 41d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 20¢ $10 41d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 25¢ $41 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $10 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 43d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Mumbai Indians 22¢ $5 44d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Mumbai Indians 24¢ $10 44d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Mumbai Indians 32¢ $20 44d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 44d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $33 44d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $30 44d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 44d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 45d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Punjab Kings 15¢ $19 45d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Punjab Kings 43¢ $20 45d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Punjab Kings 49¢ $41 45d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 49 +16.4% +5.3% 55% 49% -11.8%
all 49 +16.4% +5.3% 55% 49% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.3% 49% -11.8%
10% -4.8% 49% -20.3%
15% -14.0% 45% -28.0%
20% -22.4% 43% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $119.44 · official $119.44 (match) · 129 history records