trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -17.6% | -25.4% | 75% | 50% | -6.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -34.0% | -40.3% | 60% | 40% | -14.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -34.0% | -40.3% | 60% | 40% | -14.0% |
| all | 13 | -23.8% | -31.0% | 62% | 31% | -42.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.0% | 31% | -42.4% |
| 10% | -37.6% | 15% | -47.9% |
| 15% | -43.7% | 8% | -53.0% |
| 20% | -49.2% | 0% | -57.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $90 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $50 | +$8 | +16% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $70 | +$8 | +12% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 06 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Hurricanes vs. Sharks | Nov 06 | $25 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28? | Oct 15 | $1 | $0 | +49% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) | Oct 15 | $50 | +$13 | +27% |
| Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson? | Nov 16 | $530 | −$530 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Nov 16 | $1,466 | +$67 | +4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $20 | −$6 | -31% |