trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -11.1% | -19.6% | 0% | 0% | -19.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -25.7% | -32.7% | 50% | 38% | -31.2% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 41% | 24% | -22.8% |
| all | 17 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 41% | 24% | -22.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.8% | 24% | -22.8% |
| 10% | -36.5% | 12% | -30.2% |
| 15% | -42.7% | 6% | -36.9% |
| 20% | -48.3% | 6% | -43.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $55 | $51 | −$4 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $76 | −$8 | -11% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Jun 12 | $82 | +$10 | +12% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Jun 12 | $27 | +$7 | +28% |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5) | May 31 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | May 31 | $60 | +$3 | +4% |
| Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | May 30 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | May 30 | $95 | +$58 | +61% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | May 23 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: Maghreb AS de Fès (-2.5) | May 23 | $443 | +$27 | +6% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | May 22 | $442 | −$5 | -1% |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5) | May 09 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | May 09 | $28 | +$5 | +17% |
| Spread: Torino FC (-1.5) | Apr 27 | $396 | +$9 | +2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | Apr 26 | $393 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5) | Apr 09 | $316 | −$316 | -100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Apr 09 | $319 | $0 | +0% |