Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e92…d3d6
sports · 674 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$312 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$317 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$188
Realized−$317
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses393 / 265
Est. fees paid−$145
Open positions16
Markets (closed)658 / 674
History coverage68d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day26.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 16 History 658 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$104
7 days−$49
14 days−$141
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 86¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Under 93¢ 94¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 79¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+27%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 Over 89¢ 86¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 46¢ 42¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 72¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 Under 67¢ 72¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Haiti 80¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 Under 77¢ 78¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Under 75¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $10 +$6 +64%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 −$9 -58%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $41 −$28 -68%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$14 -67%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$10 +99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 −$6 -38%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -28%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $40 +$20 +50%
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $29 +$6 +20%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$13 -62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 −$3 -27%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 −$5 -33%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -29%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $30 +$5 +15%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $29 +$10 +33%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $81 −$31 -39%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $30 +$11 +37%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$20 +66%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $15 −$6 -39%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$11 -52%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $15 −$6 -40%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $20 −$13 -65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$233
other 11% −$82
world 0% +$18
crypto 0% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 93¢ $15 52m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 BUY Over 89¢ $10 53m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 BUY Under 77¢ $5 53m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 54m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 80¢ $5 54m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 22¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL No 22¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 18¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 19¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 SELL Over 20¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 SELL Over 15¢ $3 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 SELL Over 34¢ $3 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 75¢ $5 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $3 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 SELL Over 39¢ $4 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $10 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 79¢ $7 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 35¢ $12 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $4 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 SELL Over 11¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -2.3% -11.6% 56% 54% -11.2%
≤30d 439 +0.9% -8.7% 59% 56% -10.2%
≤90d 658 -0.9% -10.3% 60% 56% -11.9%
all 658 -0.9% -10.3% 60% 56% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 56% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 43% -20.3%
15% -26.7% 27% -28.0%
20% -33.9% 14% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $187.72 · official $187.72 (match) · 2145 history records