Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T22:56:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
0E 0x0e92…572a crypto 513 markets active 0h ago coverage 38d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$1,322 (+10%) realized +$1,322 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate76%389W / 126L
Drawdown29%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day77.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$49now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days+$133
14 days+$402
30 days+$1,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,049
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +36.0% +23.0% 84% 60% -4.3%
≤30d 340 +17.1% +5.9% 78% 58% +2.8%
≤90d 515 +11.7% +1.1% 76% 56% -2.3%
all 515 +11.7% +1.1% 76% 56% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.1% 56% -2.3%
10% ← realistic here -8.6% 21% -11.6%
15% -17.4% 15% -20.2%
20% -25.5% 12% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +17% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$17 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.49 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$49
Realized+$1,322
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses389 / 126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)515 / 513
History coverage38d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day77.9
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 515 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 24 $0 −$3 -3016%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 24 $124 +$17 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 24 $44 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 24 $85 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $22 +$37 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 24 $69 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 21 $44 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 21 $44 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 21 $44 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 21 $0 +$1 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 21 $44 +$77 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 21 $41 −$30 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $44 −$6 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 21 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 21 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $44 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $85 +$40 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 20 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$12 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 19 $71 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $44 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $44 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $85 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $44 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $44 +$13 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $124 +$46 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $40 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $124 +$20 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $124 +$20 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $124 +$22 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $124 +$17 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $44 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $44 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $85 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $83 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $124 −$60 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $124 +$175 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $124 −$124 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $140 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $39 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $41 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $44 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $50 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $44 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $94 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $41 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $44 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $51 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $39 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.03 · official $51.61 · 3500 history records