Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T20:47:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0e8e…9fec crypto 214 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$15 (+1%) realized +$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate54%116W / 98L
Drawdown44%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day99.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -0.6% -10.1% 54% 52% -0.5%
≤30d 214 -0.6% -10.1% 54% 52% -0.5%
≤90d 214 -0.6% -10.1% 54% 52% -0.5%
all 214 -0.6% -10.1% 54% 52% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 52% -0.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 51% -10.1%
15% -26.6% 50% -18.8%
20% -33.8% 47% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +10% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.11 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses116 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)214 / 214
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day99.8
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 214 Trades
no open positions (54 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 29 $11 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 29 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 29 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 29 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 29 $214 +$127 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 29 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 28 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 28 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $127 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $214 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 490 history records