trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 14% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 25% | 12% | -11.0% |
| all | 28 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 54% | 14% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 14% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 4% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 4% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 4% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $18 | $18 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $11 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $48 | −$4 | -9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 14 | $4 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days? | Apr 11 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | Apr 10 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 10 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Apr 09 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 09 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 09 | $16 | +$14 | +93% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 07 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Apr 03 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter? | Apr 01 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April? | Mar 31 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump say "Pork" during today's Iftar Dinner? | Mar 29 | $14 | +$2 | +12% |