Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e82…7ab7
sports · 149 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$244 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$245 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$245
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses71 / 75
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions1
Markets (closed)146 / 149
History coverage46d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$80
7 days+$248
14 days+$177
30 days+$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 65¢ 62¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 54¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) South Africa 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Spurs 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) LGD Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 +$30 +97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 +$13 +73%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $245 +$59 +24%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $8 +$9 +105%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $8 +$7 +86%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $10 +$8 +79%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 −$3 -82%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$1 -16%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $21 −$12 -56%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 +$8 +152%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $32 +$30 +93%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $25 +$24 +93%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 -7%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 −$5 -53%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $11 −$4 -38%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $15 −$8 -54%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $16 +$20 +124%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $41 +$36 +90%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -11%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $15 −$2 -16%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $30 −$26 -86%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $26 +$20 +76%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $25 −$7 -26%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 +$6 +124%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $20 +$17 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $41 −$16 -40%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 09 $5 −$2 -40%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $5 +$4 +70%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $17 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 09 $1 $0 +36%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 09 $5 +$2 +41%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 09 $1 +$1 +52%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 09 $1 +$1 +73%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 09 $5 −$1 -16%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 09 $1 +$2 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$225
other 6% +$28
crypto 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY 69¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 70¢ $15 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY 53¢ $15 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 65¢ $15 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $15 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) AND Spread: Swi BUY 7¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $3 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 19¢ $3 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $15 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $5 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $10 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $15 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $15 43h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 46h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $244 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 78¢ $1 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $1 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa 60¢ $1 2d
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Angels 7¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 46¢ $4 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 SELL Over 26¢ $9 2d
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $15 2d
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) BUY Knicks 55¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 56¢ $6 2d
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 36¢ $4 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 48¢ $8 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $8 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 58¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 53¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +14.2% +3.3% 52% 50% +10.1%
≤30d 145 +12.1% +1.4% 49% 47% -0.1%
≤90d 146 +11.9% +1.2% 49% 47% -0.1%
all 146 +11.9% +1.2% 49% 47% -0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.2% 47% -0.1%
10% -8.5% 47% -9.7%
15% -17.3% 45% -18.4%
20% -25.4% 42% -26.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.19 · official $40.19 · 378 history records