Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:54:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e81…47ed
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$681 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$630 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$630
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses20 / 16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$120
Trades / day259.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$630
7 days−$630
14 days−$630
30 days−$630
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$19 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $117 +$46 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$154 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $146 +$54 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$155 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$155 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $133 +$50 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $160 −$155 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $131 +$51 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$155 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $139 +$61 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $159 +$68 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $159 +$71 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $159 +$83 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $121 −$118 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $152 +$59 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $157 +$59 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $159 +$57 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$155 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$155 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$68 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$97 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $159 +$82 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $159 +$75 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$66 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $120 +$33 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$10 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $235 −$230 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $210 +$80 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $211 +$114 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$652
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $160 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+168.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +196.4% +168.2% 56% 53% -27.7%
≤30d 36 +196.4% +168.2% 56% 53% -27.7%
≤90d 36 +196.4% +168.2% 56% 53% -27.7%
all 36 +196.4% +168.2% 56% 53% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover259.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +168.2% 53% -27.7%
10% ← realistic here +142.5% 53% -34.6%
15% +119.1% 47% -40.9%
20% +97.6% 19% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.13 · official $0.22 (match) · 268 history records