trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 50% | 17% | -7.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 55% | 9% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 55% | 9% | -11.4% |
| all | 19 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 58% | 5% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 5% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 19 | $32 | +$3 | +11% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $60 | +$1 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $38 | −$12 | -31% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 24 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 23 | $39 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 29 | $16 | +$1 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 23 | $16 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | Apr 21 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Apr 18 | $16 | $0 | -1% |