Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e7c…d159
sports · 339 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses322 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)335 / 339
History coverage207d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 335 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$34
14 days−$37
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $36 $34 −$1 (-4%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Added vs. Luque: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Maric vs. Podoroska: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Romano vs. Jones: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Forti vs. Guerrieri: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Forti vs. Guerrieri: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Balshaw vs. Tabur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Balshaw vs. Tabur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Brengle vs. Rapolu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Added vs. Luque: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Added vs. Luque: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Simion vs. Lim: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Naef vs. Urhobo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Naef vs. Urhobo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Jovic vs. Anisimova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Campos vs. Ramos: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Piros vs. Daniel: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Snigur vs. Montgomery: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Snigur vs. Montgomery: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Majchrzak: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Gomez vs. Echeverria: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Gomez vs. Echeverria: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Cid vs. Garcia: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Cid vs. Garcia: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Brancaccio vs. Baena: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Perricard vs. Bublik: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Perricard vs. Bublik: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Perricard vs. Bublik: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Golubic vs. Swan: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Golubic vs. Swan: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Golubic vs. Swan: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Pieri vs. Granwehr: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Pieri vs. Granwehr: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Pieri vs. Granwehr: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Samuel vs. Holmgren: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Mandlik vs. Galfi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Mandlik vs. Galfi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Dudeney vs. Krueger: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Kasintseva vs. Gormaz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Kasintseva vs. Gormaz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Kasintseva vs. Gormaz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$23
other 26% −$15
crypto 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Forti vs. Guerrieri: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Romano vs. Jones: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Forti vs. Guerrieri: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Brengle vs. Rapolu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Balshaw vs. Tabur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Maric vs. Podoroska: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Balshaw vs. Tabur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Simion vs. Lim: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Added vs. Luque: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Added vs. Luque: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 2h
Added vs. Luque: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 3h
Naef vs. Urhobo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 3h
Naef vs. Urhobo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 3h
Jovic vs. Anisimova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 3h
Campos vs. Ramos: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 3h
Auger-Aliassime vs. Majchrzak: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 3h
Snigur vs. Montgomery: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 3h
Cid vs. Garcia: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1 3h
Cid vs. Garcia: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1 3h
Gomez vs. Echeverria: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 3h
Piros vs. Daniel: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 3h
Snigur vs. Montgomery: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 331 -1.1% -10.5% 96% 1% -14.6%
≤30d 334 -1.1% -10.5% 96% 1% -14.9%
≤90d 334 -1.1% -10.5% 96% 1% -14.9%
all 335 -1.1% -10.5% 96% 1% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 1% -14.9%
10% -19.1% 0% -23.0%
15% -26.9% 0% -30.5%
20% -34.1% 0% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.09 · official $53.09 (match) · 705 history records