trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 61¢ | 78¢ | $2,800 | $3,603 | +$803 (+29%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Switzerland | 36¢ | 52¢ | $543 | $784 | +$241 (+44%) |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | Spurs | 50¢ | 0¢ | $491 | $0 | −$491 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | G2 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1,400 | $0 | −$1,400 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B | Liquid | 32¢ | 0¢ | $161 | $0 | −$161 (-100%) |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 25¢ | 0¢ | $191 | $0 | −$191 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Spurs | 52¢ | 0¢ | $500 | $0 | −$500 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 62¢ | 0¢ | $1,662 | $0 | −$1,662 (-100%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $197 | $0 | −$197 (-100%) |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner | Team Vitality | 63¢ | 0¢ | $1,119 | $0 | −$1,119 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 62¢ | 0¢ | $2,399 | $0 | −$2,399 (-100%) |
| Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) | BC.Game Esports | 41¢ | 0¢ | $318 | $0 | −$318 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $537 | +$575 | +107% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $202 | −$197 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 07 | $1,418 | −$1,400 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner | Jun 07 | $2,970 | +$2,567 | +86% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | Jun 07 | $1,010 | +$461 | +46% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $2,426 | −$2,399 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 05 | $507 | −$500 | -99% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner | May 31 | $1,132 | −$1,119 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $1,782 | +$2,288 | +128% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $123 | +$102 | +83% |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner | May 23 | $361 | −$239 | -66% |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner | May 23 | $205 | +$156 | +76% |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner | May 23 | $2,338 | +$2,939 | +126% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | May 23 | $1,278 | −$14 | -1% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | May 23 | $1,662 | −$1,662 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $1,399 | −$1,239 | -88% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 21 | $581 | +$289 | +50% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | May 21 | $204 | +$420 | +206% |
| Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | May 21 | $325 | +$585 | +180% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro | May 21 | $164 | −$161 | -98% |
| Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | May 21 | $538 | +$590 | +110% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | May 21 | $196 | −$191 | -98% |
| Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) | May 21 | $320 | −$318 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B | May 21 | $51 | $0 | -1% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | May 21 | $1,001 | +$706 | +70% |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | May 21 | $498 | −$491 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $1,039 | +$967 | +93% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | May 19 | $23 | +$29 | +123% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Apr 17 | $2,911 | +$432 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Feb 09 | $100 | −$22 | -22% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | Feb 09 | $1,118 | −$191 | -17% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Feb 06 | $22 | −$13 | -60% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Feb 04 | $1,460 | −$208 | -14% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 60% | 60% | +20.2% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 50% | 50% | +1.4% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 52% | 52% | +1.6% |
| all | 33 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 45% | 45% | -0.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 45% | -0.8% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 42% | -10.3% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 42% | -19.0% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 36% | -26.9% |