Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e7b…afff
crypto · 142 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$8 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses62 / 77
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)139 / 142
History coverage130d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$8
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 47¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-24%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs OG 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Heroic 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage OG 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In REKONIX 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$15 +724%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -96%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $1 +$1 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 26 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -96%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $1 +$1 +129%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner May 24 $1 +$1 +101%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Feb 19 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Feb 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Feb 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Feb 18 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Feb 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Feb 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Feb 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Feb 17 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Feb 17 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Feb 17 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Feb 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Feb 17 $1 +$1 +52%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Grou Feb 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Feb 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Feb 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Feb 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% +$19
sports 32% −$9
other 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $1 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 10d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 14d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 14d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 15d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 15d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BUY GLYPH 38¢ $1 15d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +14.1% +3.2% 40% 33% +44.8%
≤30d 34 +7.7% -2.6% 47% 41% +16.9%
≤90d 34 +7.7% -2.6% 47% 41% +16.9%
all 139 -0.5% -10.0% 45% 41% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 41% -5.4%
10% -18.6% 41% -14.5%
15% -26.5% 37% -22.7%
20% -33.7% 35% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.83 · official $2.83 (match) · 239 history records