Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e78…4e26
sports · 60 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$9,082 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,954 · open +$128
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,357
Realized+$8,954
Unrealized+$128
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses45 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$191
Open positions4
Markets (closed)56 / 60
History coverage392d
Avg bet$1,752
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 4 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$617
7 days+$1,064
14 days+$1,064
30 days+$3,205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $4,945 $4,932 −$12 (-0%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $900 $1,000 +$100 (+11%)
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes 90¢ 99¢ $905 $990 +$86 (+9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 48¢ 44¢ $480 $435 −$45 (-9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5,395 +$85 +2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $915 +$15 +2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3,804 +$172 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4,241 +$208 +5%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,061 +$58 +6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $814 +$46 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $601 +$12 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2,116 +$21 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $994 +$6 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $883 +$117 +13%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1,942 +$58 +3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $28 +$2 +7%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May? Jun 11 $945 +$55 +6%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Jun 11 $1,007 +$93 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 11 $2,383 +$117 +5%
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $25 −$24 -98%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? May 16 $2,652 +$2,164 +82%
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26? Mar 29 $806 +$146 +18%
Poland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 Mar 29 $1,086 +$124 +11%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14? Mar 26 $4,896 +$104 +2%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? Feb 14 $280 −$280 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04? Feb 14 $850 −$850 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Feb 14 $1,150 −$1,150 -100%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 Feb 14 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 08 $1,689 +$332 +20%
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? Jan 08 $1,700 +$300 +18%
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? Jan 08 $1,912 +$88 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 08 $1,810 +$200 +11%
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? Jan 08 $3,692 +$308 +8%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Jan 08 $7,841 +$1,152 +15%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? Dec 29 $122 −$122 -100%
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31? Dec 29 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? Nov 01 $930 +$70 +8%
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August? Sep 04 $930 +$70 +8%
Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August? Sep 04 $944 +$56 +6%
Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country bef Jun 30 $930 +$65 +7%
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? Jun 02 $424 +$485 +114%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? Jun 02 $2,721 +$2,658 +98%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%? Jun 02 $7,000 +$410 +6%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? Jun 02 $9,950 +$403 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? Jun 01 $2 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? Jun 01 $2 $0 +2%
Will XRP reach $3.50 in May? Jun 01 $2 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? Jun 01 $500 +$125 +25%
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan Jun 01 $3,328 +$244 +7%
Will Chelsea beat Real Betis? May 29 $248 +$14 +6%
UEFA Europa Conference League Final: Real Betis vs. Chelsea May 29 $537 +$117 +22%
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland? May 21 $9,509 +$118 +1%
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? May 21 $1,011 $0 +0%
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 28% +$1,682
sports 27% +$1,294
crypto 25% +$2,023
politics 14% +$3,346
world 6% +$737
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 90¢ $67 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 90¢ $836 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 99¢ $990 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 98¢ $981 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $511 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $18 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $89 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $18 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $18 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $89 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $18 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $18 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $71 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 89¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 88¢ $883 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 52¢ $520 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $508 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 41¢ $393 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 41¢ $17 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 40¢ $407 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 72¢ $1,606 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 72¢ $1,993 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 72¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 70¢ $3,532 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $2,008 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $941 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $49 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +4.7% -5.3% 100% 7% -6.0%
≤30d 17 +3.1% -6.7% 94% 12% +0.2%
≤90d 20 +4.2% -5.7% 95% 20% -0.7%
all 56 -5.1% -14.1% 80% 25% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 25% -1.2%
10% -22.4% 11% -10.7%
15% -29.9% 9% -19.3%
20% -36.7% 9% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,357.49 · official $7,357.49 (match) · 583 history records