trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 25% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 20 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 50% | 5% | -15.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 5% | -15.6% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -23.7% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -37.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 24 | $31 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 27 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%? | May 22 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | May 12 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 09 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9? | May 08 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | May 08 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 07 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 07 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Susie Wiles be out as White House Chief of Staff in Trump's first | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | -2% |