Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e65…e33f
other · 142 markets active 7d ago
0.0score
−$12,443 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,443 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$12,443
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses82 / 60
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)142 / 142
Avg bet$2,314
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$12,681
14 days+$12,681
30 days+$11,137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $4,446 +$12,681 +285%
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? May 28 $2,469 −$1,544 -62%
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? May 03 $1,964 +$276 +14%
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026? May 03 $757 −$493 -65%
Claude 4.7 released by April 17? Apr 20 $183 +$32 +18%
Claude 4.7 released by April 24? Apr 20 $754 +$166 +22%
Claude 4.7 released by May 31? Apr 20 $1,367 +$298 +22%
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? Apr 15 $8,315 −$3,783 -46%
Netanyahu out by June 30? Apr 15 $100 +$11 +11%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026? Apr 11 $1,031 −$109 -11%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Apr 11 $30 +$77 +257%
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last E Apr 03 $198 −$3 -1%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? Apr 03 $500 −$54 -11%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Apr 03 $531 −$43 -8%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Apr 02 $500 +$95 +19%
BitBoy convicted? Apr 01 $130 −$115 -89%
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? Mar 31 $400 −$118 -30%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 202 Mar 29 $110 −$108 -98%
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? Mar 29 $120 −$65 -54%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? Mar 27 $100 +$11 +11%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamen Mar 23 $100 +$66 +66%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el Mar 23 $200 −$16 -8%
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa Mar 17 $200 +$55 +27%
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026 Mar 09 $336 +$100 +30%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 09 $100 +$25 +25%
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs Mar 09 $100 +$43 +43%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 01 $417 +$30 +7%
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $350 −$349 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $10,428 −$2,965 -28%
Pelicans vs. Jazz Feb 27 $275 +$46 +17%
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? Feb 26 $1,806 +$27 +2%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Feb 25 $973 +$12 +1%
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Win Feb 23 $547 +$465 +85%
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? Feb 23 $405 +$95 +24%
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? Feb 21 $399 +$16 +4%
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20? Feb 21 $600 +$31 +5%
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20? Feb 20 $350 −$350 -100%
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? Feb 20 $3,121 +$563 +18%
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics Feb 16 $464 +$87 +19%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market cl Feb 16 $1,870 −$1,870 -100%
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close Feb 16 $17,953 −$15,129 -84%
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? Feb 16 $199 −$187 -94%
Government shutdown on Saturday? Feb 14 $7,817 −$2,265 -29%
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28? Feb 13 $230 −$33 -14%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and Feb 13 $136 +$28 +21%
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? Feb 12 $2,061 +$180 +9%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Feb 12 $27,434 −$701 -3%
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? Feb 09 $166 +$34 +20%
Thunder vs. Spurs Feb 08 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28 Feb 08 $10 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 24% −$5,709
politics 23% −$4,742
world 21% −$20,670
economics 11% −$2,010
tech 10% +$16,170
crypto 4% +$809
sports 4% +$3,341
culture 3% +$362
finance 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $4 7d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $6 7d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 14d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $177 21d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $907 21d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 21¢ $500 21d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $413 21d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $6 36d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 40d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 40d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 40d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 40d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $16 42d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $80 42d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $34 42d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $2,439 42d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $27 42d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,005 42d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $69 42d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 97¢ $487 42d
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $18 42d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026? SELL Yes 82¢ $5 42d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 97¢ $188 42d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 97¢ $137 42d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 75¢ $156 43d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 73¢ $112 43d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 73¢ $1 43d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 73¢ $61 43d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 75¢ $22 43d
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $17 48d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +285.2% +248.5% 100% 100% +248.5%
≤30d 2 +111.3% +91.2% 50% 50% +136.2%
≤90d 23 +11.7% +1.1% 48% 48% +17.5%
all 142 -1.5% -10.9% 58% 39% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 39% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 25% -21.3%
15% -27.2% 12% -28.9%
20% -34.4% 8% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2294 history records